Despite the significant challenges posed by US tariffs, does the recent executive order signed by President Trump on US-UK trade create any opportunities for UK software companies?
While we are in an era where anything can change any moment, Lewis Bantin looks at the current state of the market, and where there may be some opportunities for those in the UK.
1. Potential for increased competitiveness for UK exports
While the UK faces a 10% baseline tariff on most goods exported to the US, this rate is notably lower than the reciprocal tariffs imposed on many of the UK’s key competitors.
Given the state of the global current account (im)balance (see IMF analysis below), Trump has hit Europe with a 50% tariff on steel and aluminium and a 25% levy on cars; the EU is trying to secure a deal before July 9, when reciprocal tariffs on most other goods would rise from 10% to up to 50%. For China, US tariffs will be set at 55%.
Depending on the final rate of reciprocal tariffs, the differential could make UK exports to the US comparatively cheaper, creating a ‘least bad option’ advantage. Similarly, with the EU looking at a minimum of 10% reciprocal tariffs on the US, EU buyers of software may look to the UK for service given the immediate price advantage, but also, and perhaps more importantly, greater predictability about future cost. In the meantime, you may also see a benefit for companies, such as Moneypenny, that are operating across both regions with a US and an UK HQ.
2. Opportunities arising from new US-UK trade deals focusing on digital trade
The recent UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal, announced on May 8, 2025, represents a significant development. While it did not fully resolve the Digital Services Tax issue, it explicitly establishes a foundation for a deeper relationship with a strong focus on technology. This agreement includes a platform for future negotiations on digital trade, critical minerals, and economic security.
The stated objective is to “strip back paperwork for British firms trying to export to the US”, with the potential to open a vast (US) market and significantly boost the UK economy. This suggests avenues for deeper collaboration in areas such as AI and quantum technologies. The explicit emphasis on a “digital trade deal” and “technology partnership” signals a clear recognition by both governments of the growing importance of the digital economy. This is good news for UK software companies, especially if it leads to a more streamlined regulatory environment, allowing them to access more of the global market. This will especially benefit those that have shifted away from hardware, for example Peoplesafe have shifted from hardware to cloud-based application, which has seen a 158% growth in app sale requirements compared with 30% for devices since 2022.
3. The drive for accelerated AI adoption and operational efficiencies
The cost pressures, supply chain disruptions, and market restrictions imposed by tariffs are compelling businesses across various sectors to seek greater cost efficiencies and re-engineer their processes. This environment creates a strong incentive for the accelerated adoption of AI to improve both the productivity of internal process as well as open new use cases for services.
With a wealth of UK and European software companies specialising in these areas, there is an opportunity to sell to those looking to mitigate tariff impacts through digital transformation and the outsourcing of “non-core” services to niche expert providers.
4. Supply chain shifts
Tariffs can induce sudden shifts in global demand and supply patterns, leading businesses to actively move away from exposure to “tariff-heavy” regions of the world. This dynamic could present opportunities for UK-based companies to benefit from a higher supply of, and potentially cheaper prices for, tech goods and components that were previously destined for the US. This also generates new demand for software solutions that assist businesses in managing increasingly complex and diversified global supply chains.
There is a chance that we may see more foreign investment in the UK tech sector as companies in other locations with higher tariff rates look to relocate to take advantage of the comparably lower rates in the UK – assuming, of course, that the “new normal” of global tariffs persists. However, this will all come out in the wash in the medium to long-term, depending on the rates imposed, and whether they stick.
No one wants to operate in a protectionist world; it limits global trade and hinders predictability, which is damaging to business and investment decisions.
However, despite this complex and dynamic environment, the UK is relatively well placed and recognises its need to trade in an agile way. UK companies should be on the lookout for opportunities coming out of this wider climate.
Insights
30/06/2025
What opportunities will global tariffs create for UK companies?
Suzanne Pike, Partner in ECI's Origination Team, highlights the resilience of the mid-market amidst shifting trends across the PE landscape, according to ECI's latest data analysis.
With 14 buyouts completed in the £150 – 300 million range across the trailing 12 months (TTM) to Q1 2025, up from 13 in Q4 2024 and 12 in Q3 2024, the sector has remained consistent with its long-term average of 14 deals completed per quarter since 2021, reflecting stability in the market.
The large-cap end of the private equity market, over £300 million, has seen a reduction in activity, with the number of completed buyouts in single digits, not helped by a clogged IPO market for exits. This has, in turn, caused larger funds to dip down into the mid-market, where there is more activity. Meanwhile, smaller-cap buyouts – firms valued up to £150 million - have dropped significantly, with only 26 transactions in Q1 2025 compared to 37 in Q4 2024 and 38 in Q3 2024.
Despite broader macro challenges, ECI highlights the importance of the flight to quality over quantity in private equity investments. High-performing companies are commanding high valuations as investors seek out companies with robust management strategies and solid growth trajectories.
ECI completed five deals in the 12 months to the end of March 2025, outperforming mid-market private equity during this period.
News
24/06/2025
Suzanne Pike
Read Time: 1 Min
Mid-market proves resilient amid economic uncertainty
Expanding your business into the US market can be a transformative step, but only if you ensure your go-to-market strategy has the right foundations. A critical part of this strategy is building out an in-market US sales capability, not only hiring the right people but also giving them the right tools to sell your solutions. We ask Brett Pentz, ECI’s Growth Specialist for North America, where he has seen management teams do this well and what are the key considerations.
1. Why should you win in the US market?
Because the US is such an attractive market, it can be easier to focus on the benefits to the business of you being there, rather than to your potential customers. Many businesses make the faulty assumption that their solution will immediately translate to the US. Leadership teams need to have a clear view as to product-market-fit, why you have a right to win customers in what can be a different market, and what subtle components of product localisation might be needed. This first step is crucial and will have a benefit when you go out to hire roles and can explain the potential. At CPOMS, we spent time and effort to conduct substantial interview and survey research with prospective buyers and users to understand their needs when it came to school safety software. This allowed the business to prioritise some small but critical changes to their marketing collateral and product to be successful with US school districts.
2. Where should you sell?
One of the ways I help management teams with US expansion is deciding where they should first launch or which new regions to enter, in particular where to open offices. There are several factors that feed into that decision from the presence of ideal customer profiles to logistics to total costs, but the availability of potential talent, including sales, is a key consideration. Moneypenny is a great example, where operating from Metro Atlanta has proven to be target-rich in the legal, healthcare, home services, and other businesses that they serve and talent-rich in recruiting the sales team and other roles.
It’s also important to understand what a competitive compensation package looks like by metropolitan area, while remembering that not only will the US often have much higher salary expectations than Europe, but it can also vary dramatically from one location to the next. You will also need to consider the full compensation package, including commission targets, retirement accounts, employee stock options, health insurance, remote work flexibility – and much more, all in line with expectations of that local market. You may need to be prepared to pay up; trying to undercut a market you’re trying to break into is unlikely to deliver a long-term return on expansion.
3. Are you being sold to?
Assessing sales talent in any country is inevitably difficult - they’re just so good at selling themselves! But this may be more true in the US than anywhere else based on my travels. It is important to get a good feel for multiple candidates so you can do a proper side-by-side comparison, rather than comparing to your UK sales team. It’s also important to align your hiring process to your company culture, assessing for behaviours and values, rather than just looking at historic numbers. Hiring into a US office that is establishing itself in the market is more akin to hiring into a startup, so the skills to hire for should be different with those first US hires. The more that individuals from your business, or a partner like me, can spend in the market to try and reference and get to know salespeople before a hiring process, the greater the chances of successfully being able to find and attract the right talent. Better yet, go to a relevant conference or event for target customers in the US, and observe firsthand who is effectively selling in your industry.
4. Who should be your first hire?
It is easy to imagine that one superstar hire who knows everyone in the industry can forge an entire sales function, but that assumption can be an expensive mistake. Not only do you add high cost into a function that is just getting started, but often a different level of hustle and hunger is needed when trying to build something from the ground up versus operating within a larger enterprise. What an individual can do at one company may well not translate to your business that is nascent in a new market. These individuals can be introduced once networks and brand reputation already have a foothold, and operations are established to set them up for success. Moreover, we have found businesses should be open and prepared to be flexible when the right person is identified, even if the timing isn’t exactly right. At Peoplesafe, the right answer was not to try to find a salesperson that worked for a large US competitor, but rather to find someone that was effectively selling a completely different type of technology solution to the same types of buyers that fit into Peoplesafe’s go-to-market strategy.
5. Where are the leads coming from?
A sales team needs high quality lead generation to be able to sell your product, and this is especially true in the competitive US market. Word of mouth takes a long time, so you will need to allocate significant marketing budget, and create a seamless process for lead qualification that means teams are focussing their efforts on those most likely to convert. It is critical to map that process to build an effective sales and marketing engine from awareness to qualification to conversion. Don’t be in a rush to hire a US sales lead, but rather take the time to rebuild this engine to reflect each high-priority US customer segment. Then, once you have established a sustainable pipeline of qualified leads, you can bring in a US salesperson that is now set up for success.
Insights
11/06/2025
Brett Pentz
Read Time: Min
Setting a US sales team up for success
In our latest Quick Fire, we chat with ECI’s Origination Analyst, Sam Veevers, about his journey into private equity, the reality of AI adoption, and why his browser tabs are getting out of hand.
Q: What made you want to join ECI?
I’ve always been someone who values learning and development, so I was immediately drawn to ECI’s approach. It was clear that personal growth was something they took seriously, and they’ve absolutely delivered on that promise. Ten months in, I’ve picked up more skills than I can count and, with ECI’s support, I’ve recently enrolled in an AI/ML programme at Cambridge.
I was also really impressed by how connected the teams are here. The Origination, Commercial and Investment teams don’t work in silos, they operate as one, and wins are shared across the board. That kind of collaboration really stood out to me.
Q: How do you leverage AI as part of your role?
Personally, I use AI to streamline the origination and research process. Whether it's classifying companies, structuring web data, or enriching our pipeline with real-time insights, I’ve built several LLM-powered workflows to help us cut through the noise and identify high-fit opportunities at scale.
At a broader level, ECI has taken a proactive approach to embedding machine learning across the business through Amplifind™, our AI-powered origination engine that uses proprietary data to source, prioritise and assess leads. Over the past year, we’ve expanded it with modules like Amplifind™360, which uses AI to drive better decision making and collaboration for our portfolio on M&A prospects and pipeline. We’ve also introduced agentic tools that can intelligently source and compile relevant information. The goal is to eliminate low-value manual work and free up time for what really matters: critical thinking and decision-making.
Q: What have been some of the biggest changes you've seen with AI in the wider market since you joined?
It’s been exciting to see how much the landscape has shifted even just in the past year. We’ve moved beyond basic chatbot-style tools to much more sophisticated, workflow-integrated AI solutions. I think that shift has been driven by two things: better access to low/no-code platforms and a big jump in general AI literacy across the workforce.
That said, one major bottleneck for many businesses is still the quality of their internal data. As they say, bad data in, bad data out. What gives ECI a real edge here is that we’ve spent years investing in how we structure and store data. That head start has allowed us to use AI tools more effectively and get meaningful outputs much faster.
Q: What are your predictions for the M&A market in 2025?
Coming into 2025, many in the market felt that it was likely to be a busier H2, and so far, that reflects what we have seen. Q1 was relatively quiet across the board, as many businesses were still grappling with uncertainty whether that was around inflation, interest rates or wider macroeconomic conditions. That quieter period gave us, and many others, space to focus on strategic priorities, including embedding and supporting our four new portfolio companies from a busy deal period at the end of last year.
Now, it feels like momentum is building across the market. The pipeline is stronger, conversations are more advanced, and processes that may have been paused last year are beginning to move forward again. That said, there’s still a sense that some sellers are waiting for that “perfect” moment perhaps due to economic uncertainty or timing. Hopefully a calmer and more positive economic and political backdrop will lead to more confidence that now is a good time to come to market.
Q: Where would you like to be in 10 years?
Honestly, that’s a tough one to answer... If the past 10 years have taught me anything, it’s that your path can take a lot of unexpected and exciting turns. For me, the focus isn’t on a specific title or destination it’s about staying challenged, learning new things, and being part of something that feels impactful. As long as I’ve got that, I’ll be happy.
Quick Fire with Sam:
Are you an introvert or an extrovert?
Definitely an introvert.
What's the best bit of advice you have received?
“Everything happens for a reason.” It’s something my mum drilled into me growing up. I didn’t always appreciate it back then, but it’s stuck with me. When things don’t go your way, it’s easy to spiral so that little reminder helps me pause and put things in perspective.
Where are we likely to find you on a Friday night?
Fridays are usually a quiet night for me – working out, nice food and general ‘me time’ are among the typical agenda. With the level of quietness being largely influenced by Thursday nights activities – after all Thursdays are the new Fridays!
What is your worst habit?
I tend to hoard Chrome tabs throughout the day ‘just in case’ I need them later. Fast forward a few hours, and I’ve got 237 tabs open across five windows, wondering why my laptop’s fan sounds like a jet engine.
Who would you most like to have dinner with?
Probably the Egyptian Pharaoh Khufu (commissioned the Great Pyramid of Giza). So many questions, so many YouTube videos to debunk.
News
05/06/2025
“Quick Fire” with Sam Veevers
Croud, the digital-first marketing company, is pleased to announce the appointment of Steve King as its new Chair of the Board. King will play a key role in guiding Croud through its next phase of growth — helping to lead with innovation, scale the business, deepen client partnerships, and strengthen Croud’s position as a leader in delivering data-driven marketing.
Steve King brings over two decades of global leadership experience, having founded Zenith in the UK and the US, establishing its presence on both sides of the Atlantic. He served on the Board of Publicis Groupe for more than 20 years, where he led the global launch of Publicis Media and later served as Global Chief Operating Officer.
King takes over from advertising veteran Jerry Buhlman, who steps down after five transformative years. He played a key role in the business as it expanded its reach geographically with several US acquisitions, and across capabilities, acquiring Born Social, Vert Digital and MetaGeni. He oversaw Croud’s growth trajectory which resulted in the successful investment by ECI in October last year. Jerry will continue to be involved in the business as a special advisor to the Board.
This new leadership appointment comes at a pivotal moment for Croud as it launches its market-leading AI-powered platform, powering the new proposition to ‘Deliver a Return on Intelligence’. The proposition fuses its people, technology and AI capabilities organised to deliver incremental and commercial returns. The company has invested heavily in key leadership and new technologies, integrating these into its brand and performance media, as well as creative offering.
He joins Croud, as the company leads with:
- Market-leading tools and technology: Croud OS, a proprietary operating system that’s fully embedded into client delivery and designed to drive measurable marketing effectiveness, with key tools like Brand AI and SEO.Max.
- The Croudie Network: A standout model offering a globally distributed, flexible, scalable resource aligned to marketing plans – a level of sophistication unique in the industry.
- Top-Tier leadership: The recent appointment of Debbie Ellison, as EMEA CEO, Char Hamill as new EMEA COO and Kris Tait stepping up into the new role of Chief Business Officer, having built a strong base for the US business to grow. The appointments follow an objective over the last 12-18 months to bring in strategic leaders from across the industry.
News
04/06/2025
Croud signals next chapter of growth with advertising leader Steve King named as Chair
We are delighted to welcome Simona Everts as a new associate in our Commercial Team. Simona joins to further strengthen our ability to support our portfolio expand internationally, with a focus on European growth.
Prior to joining ECI, Everts worked at OC&C Strategy Consultants where she was a consultant for the past three years. She worked with private equity and corporate clients across Europe on strategy and due diligence projects in the FMCG, TMT, and B2B Services sectors. Prior to this she spent two years at Baringa Partners, an Energy & Resources management consulting firm, having previously graduated in Chemistry at Oxford. Simona is a fluent English and Dutch speaker.
News
29/05/2025
Read Time: 1 Min
ECI Partners strengthens international capabilities with Commercial Team hire
Developing a customer-led product strategy allows companies to drive retention by embedding customer feedback into their technology development roadmap. By building customer-focussed software products, a company can successfully: enhance customer satisfaction and consequently reduce churn, launch and monetise new modules driving upsell and cross-sell and differentiate itself to the competition.
So, it’s no surprise that having such a strategy is crucial to enhancing growth. But how can you develop a successful strategy with the right balance between evolution and overextension? Peoplesafe, the workforce safety tech provider, recently won the Tomorrow’s Health and Safety Awards for both their cloud-native software platform and their mobile application. Specifically, Peoplesafe has developed its platform so that it can roll out new scalable tools quickly that specifically address customer needs. We chat with Naz Dossa and Will Solomon, CEO and CTO at Peoplesafe, to find out how they have successfully moved their product forward.
1. What drives successful product extension?
Understanding customer needs and solving them through technology is the key to any product strategy and the engineering sprints that follow. Will Solomon explained that they saw customers were increasingly asked by their employees if they could use Peoplesafe’s personal protection app for their commute rather than just whilst they were at work. Peoplesafe’s customers also ran a survey asking their employees for direct feedback on the new features of the app, and this confirmed concerns around incidents happening on the way to or from work. “TravelSafe was designed to help commuters by allowing a user to specify their destination. We can then work out if the journey is taking longer than expected or not going as planned and automatically raise an alarm should an individual fail to reach their destination on time.”
Similarly, Peoplesafe was looking to target new markets which had specific needs. Naz Dossa, CEO of Peoplesafe, discusses the forestry sector as an example. “This is a sector where one of the key challenges for workers is losing signal and therefore the ability to request assistance in the event of an incident. This led to the development of the Peoplesafe’s RoamSafe feature, which uses a second eSIM on the phone which can allow the Peoplesafe app to connect to any of the mobile network operator networks available, improving land coverage from ~83% to around ~94% ensuring the best likelihood of raising an alarm when needed most. That is key for workers in more remote areas and gives Peoplesafe the right to play in certain verticals.”
2. Prioritising your roadmap
Overcomplicating things is a key temptation and challenge when considering product evolution. Whilst it is important to listen to customer feedback, you don’t want to build an overcomplicated product that therefore lacks utility. Not only will that potentially irritate a lot of customers (and your engineers!) but your sales team also need to clearly understand what they are selling and the value it brings. Will explains, "It's definitely a choice on value and effort. All feedback and ideas are brought into the product team, where they are assessed for feasibility and market potential. We have a product review board that meets every six weeks to prioritise these opportunities based on our business strategy and goals.” This structured approach ensures that only the most valuable and strategically aligned features are developed, preventing the product from becoming overly complex and difficult to use.
3. Successfully testing in the market
Has your solution answered the customer need you are trying to solve? Product strategy and then development are only the first couple of steps towards successful delivery – it is important once beta versions of a product are ready to test that they are working as intended, ideally before it gets rolled out fully to the market. Will shares how this works at Peoplesafe. “Because of the modular nature of the app, we can turn on the feature for certain companies as a trial first, often for a subset of their workforce. We can then review employee usage and behaviour, which allows us to see if it really is a solution, before selling it as such.”
Peoplesafe asks for direct feedback on new features through customer surveys. By involving customers in the process and iterating based on their feedback, they ensure that their products are well-received and effective in real-world scenarios. Will comments, “By listening to customers we’ve been able to understand what features are most valuable. Not only does this better service customers, but we’ve also halved the battery consumption of our app by learning how it’s being used.”
4. Selling benefits to customers and driving adoption
Driving adoption of new products requires clear communication of their benefits. To encourage Peoplesafe’s customers to activate new features there are webinars, product information and marketing campaigns. Naz mentions, “We have a very active customer team who have weekly webinars to highlight how customers can get more value from the product and see what else is on offer. Modules can also be packaged in ways that make sense, for example if you adopt the TravelSafe product there is a logic that you might want vehicle crash detection. Bundles allow you to create a tailored solution for certain end users.”
While the new features allow Peoplesafe to target new users or markets, Will also highlighted that it has transformed their renewal process. Without additional features on offer a renewal conversation can be purely functional or come down to discussions about price. If you can show new features as part of that discussion, then you can either demonstrate improved value for the same price or use that touchpoint to upsell additional features that are useful for the customer. “We also look at the data to see if a customer is underusing new features that we believe are relevant to their needs. That way we can deliver early intervention ahead of renewal such as training to drive adoption – that ensures customers are getting value well ahead of that conversation.”
Peoplesafe are continuing this product evolution mindset with AI, for example summarising very detailed user alarm reports that can take some time to understand, into a short paragraph to save customers time in understanding incident reports and the risks in their employee bases. Will explains, “We have a lot of sensitive data so all AI projects start and end with privacy, but that data can offer valuable insight, such as high accident or fall locations, to offer better insight back to customers in an ethical way.”
5. Evolution at the heart of growth
Naz explains the impact of the product roadmap on Peoplesafe’s growth projections, “The growth is twofold. We’re able to differentiate against competitors, giving us stickier revenues. Now people are getting more than one service, and that drives better longevity. Secondly, we can address new markets – both in terms of new verticals, but also extension within existing customers. A notable example is Pret A Manger – they had already adopted workforce safety technology to activate audio recording device to capture incidents, with Peoplesafe’s Alarm Receiving Centre listening in and escalating to 999 where needed. The feedback was that their staff were being threatened when they left the stores, on their way home for example, so now they are also rolling out TravelSafe to their staff to provide that additional reassurance.”
With a greater total addressable market, and stickier customers, it’s clear that making product evolution work, is a great driver of growth and business value.
Find out more how we can support management teams with understanding customer needs and enhancing their product offering.
Insights
27/05/2025
Read Time: Min
How to successfully evolve your product to grow your business
We're delighted to announce our partnership with The Wilderness Foundation UK, a fantastic charity dedicated to preserving wild spaces and providing nature-based therapy and mentoring to children, teens and adults.
Based in Essex, the foundation offers nature-based outreach programmes, environmental education and nature therapy camps, alongside wilderness trails that enable adults and young people to explore unspoilt wild places. Their 45+ accredited therapists seek to bring about measurable, positive change and improved mental health within disadvantaged and vulnerable young people and adults, enabling them to lead a healthy and active life. The foundation also works to preserve wild spaces by educating young people on the benefits of protecting nature and the value of time spent outdoors.
The Wilderness Foundation UK was founded in 1976, coincidentally the same year as ECI, meaning both our organisations will celebrate their 50th anniversaries next year.
We look forward to supporting this fantastic charity over the next year through different initiatives and activities. You can discover more about their programmes and their dedication to connecting people with nature by visiting their website: https://wildernessfoundation.org.uk/