Mid-market proves resilient amid economic uncertainty

24/06/2025
Read Time: 1 Min

Suzanne Pike, Partner in ECI’s Origination Team, highlights the resilience of the mid-market amidst shifting trends across the PE landscape, according to ECI’s latest data analysis.

With 14 buyouts completed in the £150 – 300 million range across the trailing 12 months (TTM) to Q1 2025, up from 13 in Q4 2024 and 12 in Q3 2024, the sector has remained consistent with its long-term average of 14 deals completed per quarter since 2021, reflecting stability in the market.

The large-cap end of the private equity market, over £300 million, has seen a reduction in activity, with the number of completed buyouts in single digits, not helped by a clogged IPO market for exits. This has, in turn, caused larger funds to dip down into the mid-market, where there is more activity. Meanwhile, smaller-cap buyouts – firms valued up to £150 million – have dropped significantly, with only 26 transactions in Q1 2025 compared to 37 in Q4 2024 and 38 in Q3 2024.

Despite broader macro challenges, ECI highlights the importance of the flight to quality over quantity in private equity investments. High-performing companies are commanding high valuations as investors seek out companies with robust management strategies and solid growth trajectories.

ECI completed five deals in the 12 months to the end of March 2025, outperforming mid-market private equity during this period.

“In a tougher macro climate, investors are prioritising quality over quantity – backing businesses with stability, fantastic leadership, and clear growth potential. Research from private market intelligence platform Gain.pro shows overall UK holding periods are now up to 5.3 years, a 10-year high, up from 4.1 years in 2020. The mid-market has proved stable in terms of dealflow but there are still many pent-up deals waiting for the right time to come to market.”

Suzanne Pike

Partner, ECI

“The UK mid-market continues to show remarkable resilience, even in a more selective deal environment. While overall deal volumes have softened, investor appetite remains strong for high-quality businesses with clear growth potential. At the same time, longer holding periods point to a growing focus on long-term value creation.”

Nicola Ebmeyer

Co-Founder and Co-CEO at Gain.pro

About the author

Suzanne Pike

My role is to make sure we know the best growing and resilient businesses there are, and that they know and want to work with us. Post-investment, my team and I provide hands on support to the businesses we back to develop their M&A strategies.

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